We acknowledge the support of the Demographic Registry and particularly Dr. Importantly, for helping us to understand their work processes. This project was supported by the dedication of the personnel of key institutions in Puerto Rico who provided team members with mortality information, and most We are also grateful for the support of Dean Dharma Vázquez of the University of Puerto Rico Graduate School of Public Health and all of those who provided their help. We thank the Milken Institute School of Public Health for providing administrativeĪnd financial support at the beginning and throughout the study. A special thanks goes to our external panel of experts and internal technical specialists who reviewed the methods design and provided input on this report (see Annex 2 for a complete list of panelists). We also thank them for their assistance in establishing the needed institutional agreements. We would like to acknowledge the support from the GW Office of the Vice Provost for Research and the ITS staff who helped us create a secure platform to store our data. “This project and the creation of this report would not have been possible without the support of various institutions, agencies and individuals. It seems a more careful analysis indicates yet higher estimates. Source: author’s calculations, Milken Institute (2018), Santos-Lozada and Howard (2018). Below, I place in context this report’s estimates and mine.įigure 1: Cumulative excess deaths from September 2017, for simple time dummies OLS model (blue), OLS model adjusting for population (green), and Quantile Regression model adjusting for population (red), Milken Institute point estimate (black) and 95% confidence interval (gray +), Santos-Lozada, Howard letter (purple). I thought my estimates, reported in this post, were possibly too high. The cumulative excess mortality calculations are here: Source: Ascertainment of Estimated Excess Mortality from Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico, commissioned by the government of Puerto Rico. ![]() The key graph regarding mortality rates is here, adjusting for emigration: Total excess mortality post-hurricane using the migration displacement scenario is estimated to be 2,975 (95% CI: 2,658-3,290) for the total study period of September 2017 through February 2018. From Ascertainment of Estimated Excess Mortality from Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico, commissioned by the government of Puerto Rico, released today:
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